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What if Gondor had fallen instead of Arnor in the early 3rd Age?

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Feb 19, 2018
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Let's say that, for whatever reason, the Witch King never tried to operate in Angmar, but instead operated from Harad or somewhere near Gondor. And suppose that the internal struggles of Arnor had instead plagued Gondor, and eventually it fell into disrepair, but the Witch King had been driven off?

As it was, Sauron was mostly hiding in Dol Guldor later in the Third Age, as the Necromancer. Also, the fact that Sauron now could just cross the Anduin as Gondor was mostly an abandoned area would have made attacking Dol Guldor SOONER more likely to occur, as the threat of any forces from Mordor coming across into Rohan and even Rivendale would have been too high for ever Saruman to try and downplay. This would have lead to an earlier strike against him, which would have hurt him more than in the original timeline. Also, if Saruman persisted in trying to downplay the danger of Sauron, his treachery would have been exposed much sooner and him fought by Gandalf, Radaghast, and others of the White Council. At any rate, I think, in this timeline, Saruman doing dirty work in Rohan would be harder than in the original timeline. Also, though I can't say if they were Sauron-loyalists or just weren't fond that Numenor snubbed them in favor of Rohan, it's possible that the Dunlandings would have been allies, even if reluctantly, due to the greater threat of Mordor (with Gondor being mostly empty).

Also, in this universe, the Rangers would have been in Gondor's leftovers, rather than Arnor's, so they may have been able to intercept Gollum sooner when he got away, BEFORE he got to Mordor. That would have meant that Sauron never learned, more or less, of where the Ring was.

Aragorn may well have been crowned king in the North. Of course, there are some downsides, such as Bilbo not getting Sting (I don't see the trolls, who had Sting in their treasure collection, being able to operate nearly as freely in a populated Arnor.) And, now that I think of it, a REALLY big problem would be that any area south of Rohan and Lothlorien (depending on where one is at) would likely to be filled with orcs, so the fellowship would have a nightmare of a time getting the Ring to Mt. Doom, as there would be no Faramir there to help Frodo and Sam. And, if Gollum was captured by Aragorn, he wouldn't be able to help Frodo and Sam through the Dead Marshes.
 
I've thought about this one and can't really see how the west would have stood so long against Mordor had Gondor split into three parts and were wiped out one-by-one. I could see the Rangers of Ithilien being one mean guerrilla force in Ithilien doing what they did.

If Gondor fell, then the pressure would be on Dale and Lorien and Rohan to stem the tide from pushing to the sea.
 
What if we do a full-reverse? No Aragorn. While the Kingdom of Arnor survived, its kings were wiped out in civil wars a thousand years before Aragorn would have been born - and was a land run by Stewards. Meanwhile Gondor was divided and eventually fell - but the line of her kings survived, leading the remnants of their people from some remote corner of the land. There was no Rohan - as there was no Cirion to invite the horse-lords to dwell in Calenardhon, or even to summon them for a battle that never was (just a wave of people sweeping over the land - maybe on their way to Arnor).
 

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