Thankyou kindly for the response. I don't consider the reply stubborn and I hope you will not consider me so, for replying in turn. I thought I addressd many of the points you raised in the original but I shall explain more clearly.
I do not, in fact have any experience in detecting travellors, but my point was that I, and I assume you, also have no experience in raising
orcs. For all you or I know
Saruman had enough orcs,
wargs, crows and whatever other unnamed
watchers to stand shoulder to shoulder right across the gap. There is no theoretical limit to his man/bird power. Or at least so
Gandalf may have feared.
I thought my point about the fact they had already been detected twice, even before they reached
Moria, raised big questions about relying on space to protect them.
Gandalf may indeed get an eagle at many opportune times, but, and correct me if I am wrong, this is always by chance. He never actually summons one at will. For one to simply turn up would surely be "cooking the
books" as you put it.
The issue with scouting is not that they are opposed to it in principle it is a question of distance and time. Either they would all
travel somewhat towards
Isengard, then send on Aragon/
Legolas. However they would be walking closer to the possible danger in the first place, and would then have to make the same dangerous journey back to where they started, if in fact the gap was guarded. Otherwise they would have to wait in the open near Moria/Carhadras for some considerable time, while someone make the whole journey to the gap alone. During all this time Saruman's forces would be growing, and information would scarcely be current when the scout returned.
By no means was I suggesting the fact that Saruman did not attack
Boromir or Gandalf was proof he had troops. Sorry if that wasnt clear but that would be ridiculous. I was merely suggesting that the only explanation for not attacking was not that Saruman couldnt, but it may be that he wouldnt. My explanation for not attacking Boromir is already stated and in the case of Gandalf it may well be that he did not want to risk his main strength when there was no hope of
the ring as reward. Also Saruman's evident arrogance might lead him to beleive Gandalf is not as big a threat as the reader does. These are merely plausible possibilities intended to refute your use of these
events as proof.
The point I thought I made was that the benefit of Moria was that they were not specifically sought there.
The watcher was not known to Gandalf so should not be considered in his reasoning. At the the other "constricted entrance", which you deem so fearful, let us not forget that there was a guard there. However it was dispatched by
Aragorn single handed. They encountered no patrols/ a directed guard at the west gate. So it would seem there was no one set in Moria specifically to stop the fellowship. ( ok the watcher was there but if
Sauron wanted the ring, he probably doesnt want it at the bottom of another body of water in the belly of a monster). Without
pippin's mistake, it is at least plausible that the only trouble they would have encounterd was the weak guard on
the east gate.
Finally ( Phew I hear you say ), you make no comment on my point about the nearness of escape. NB This is not the same as saying a visit to
Lorien was necessary.
If anything went wrong at the gap, even if only one crow spotted them, they would have to outrun orcs and wargs all the way to
Gondor ( they were not sure of
Rohan ). There is no way they would ever get away - you must admit that. In Moria things did go as wrong as they could, pretty much, and they still managed to get out.
Hope you reply, and thanks for taking the time.